Caitlyn Rodrigues
Prologue: The creation of the European Nation
The European Union’s performance on the international stage has entered a new act, with Brexit and immigration taking center stage in this complex political ballet. As of March 2025, the EU finds itself dancing through a series of challenges. Its beginning can be traced back to the aftermath of World War II, with its formal establishment occurring on November 1, 1993, when the Maastricht Treaty came into force (Gabel, 2019). Driven by a desire for lasting peace and economic growth, the EU was created as a central theatre in a continent devastated by two world wars, with the ultimate goal of fostering economic, social, and political ties among European nations (European Union, 2024).
Act 1: The Brexit Saga
- A desire to “Take Back Control”: According to Westcott (2020), many British citizens believed that choices that affected their nation were increasingly being decided in Brussels instead of by their own elected representatives. This sentiment was fueled by a perception that EU regulations limit the UK’s ability to govern itself independently. The Leave campaign capitalized on this narrative with its slogan “Take Back Control,” arguing that leaving the EU would restore its parliamentary power and allow the UK to set its own laws, trade policies, and regulations without interference from the EU. (Riley & Ghilès, 2016)
- Immigration Anxieties: Immigration became a central issue in the Brexit debate, particularly following the EU’s 2004 enlargement, which allowed free movement of workers from Central and Eastern European countries such as Poland, Hungary, and Romania. The influx of migrants into the UK—many of whom took up low-wage jobs—sparked fears about job competition, wage suppression, and pressure on public services like housing, healthcare, and education (Lee, 2016). Politicians like Nigel Farage and the UK Independence Party (UKIP) amplified these fears with provocative campaigns, including controversial posters warning of unchecked migration.
- Regional inequality: Economic disparities set the stage for discontent in many parts of the UK. Former powers, feeling like understudies in the globalization play, saw Brexit as a chance to raise their voice in frustration with a political system they believed had forgotten them. The economic gaps between regions widened after the 2008 financial crisis, with London and the South East taking center stage while other areas were left on the sidelines.
All these issues pile up in one catastrophic final act, leading to Britain’s final goodbye from the EU.
Act 2: The Brexit Aftermath
The dramatic performance that began with the 2016 referendum, reached its climax on January 31, 2020, when the UK officially exited the EU stage (Armstrong, 2025). This pivotal act in the European political theater has had far-reaching consequences, with economists predicting a reduction in the UK’s real per capita income and a decrease in trade and investment (Chu & Kovacevic, 2025) .Five years after the departure, the economic and social impacts remain profound. The UK economy has contracted by an estimated 3.2% of GDP as of 2025, with long-term projections suggesting a 4% annual GDP hit, translating into billions in lost output (Statista, 2018). Trade, once seamless within the EU, now stumbles under the weight of non-tariff barriers, with UK goods exports down by nearly 10% since 2019, while small and medium enterprises bear the brunt of increased costs and regulatory hurdles (Labiak, 2024). Labour shortages, exacerbated by reduced EU migration, have also strained key industries like manufacturing and logistics, further compounding productivity challenges. As a result, public sentiment in today’s world has shifted dramatically; as of early 2025, 55% of Britons regret leaving the EU, with only 30% believing it was the right decision (Statista, 2023). The promises of economic freedom that fueled Brexit have yet to materialize, leaving many to question whether this act in the UK’s political drama was worth its cost. Meanwhile, the EU has had to navigate new trade dynamics without one of its lead performers. This economic situation has also impacted the remaining EU members, adversely effecting Ireland, the Netherlands, and Belgium. As the curtain rises on 2025, the EU finds itself grasping at straws to maintain unity in geopolitical tensions, improving competitiveness, and grappling with the ongoing support for Ukraine (European Newsroom, 2025).
Act 3: The Balancing Act
In the post-Brexit era, the UK finds itself performing a delicate balancing act on the immigration stage. Despite Brexit’s promise to “take back control” of borders, net migration has not decreased as anticipated. Instead, the UK has witnessed a sharp decline in migration, with more EU citizens leaving than entering the UK (Hayes, 2024) The new immigration system has introduced both opportunities and challenges. On one hand, it has liberalized rules for non-EU migrants, potentially attracting global interest. On the other, it has created new vulnerabilities for EU migrants, who now face more restrictive rules and fewer rights than under free movement. As a result, the UK’s public finances continue to benefit from migrant contributions, with studies showing that EU migrants pay more in taxes than they receive in benefits and services. Certain sectors, particularly those relying on lower-skilled EU workers, are experiencing labor shortages. The academic scene has seen a significant plot change, with EU student applications to UK universities plummeting by 53% due to increased fees and visa requirements (Riley & Ghilès, 2016) .As the curtain rises on 2025, the UK’s immigration drama continues to unfold, with policymakers, employers, and migrants alike adjusting to the new realities.
Act 4: The Finale
The European Parliament has undergone a significant transformation, with its total seats reduced from 751 to 705. While 46 of the UK’s former 73 seats remain in reserve for potential future members, 27 seats have been redistributed among 14 member states. (Kaup & Edwards, 2020) France and Spain emerged as the leading beneficiaries, each gaining five additional seats, followed by Italy and the Netherlands with three new seats each. (Members’ Research Service) Additionally, the departure of British MEPs has altered the ideological composition of the European Parliament. Right-leaning groups, particularly those led by British conservatives, have seen their influence diminish. Conversely, the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats has found itself in a stronger position to form majorities without relying on conservative support. Furthermore, the EU-27’s economic performance has been impacted by Brexit, with real output estimated to be 0.8% lower in the long run under a standard free trade agreement scenario. Ireland faces the most significant economic impact, with a potential 2.5% reduction in output compared to a no-Brexit scenario (Chen et al., 2018).
Epilogue
In conclusion, the Brexit saga has left an incredible mark on the European Union’s grand performance. As the curtain rises on a new era, the EU must navigate the challenges of a post-Brexit world. As in any play, as the puppeteers, the EU must balance its desire for unity with the need to address the diverse concerns of its member states. The drama of Brexit serves as a reminder that even in the most intricate performances, change is inevitable and the ability to adapt is crucial for survival. As the EU continues to evolve, it must ensure that its choreography responsive to the ever-changing rhythm of global politics.
References
Armstrong, R. E. (2025, January 31). Five years of Brexit: Is the United Kingdom better off? Euronews; Euronews.com. https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/01/31/five-years-of-brexit-is-the-united-kingdom-better-off
Chen, J., Ebeke, C., Lin, L., Qu, H., & Siminitz, J. (2018, August 10). The Long-Term Impact of Brexit on the European Union. IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2018/08/10/blog-the-long-term-impact-of-brexit-on-the-eu
Chu, B., & Kovacevic, T. (2025, January 31). Five key impacts of Brexit five years on. BBC. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdrynjz1glpo
European Newsroom. (2025, January 3). Europe’s 2025: Security, competitiveness and political turbulence. European Newsroom. https://europeannewsroom.com/europes-2025-security-competitiveness-and-political-turbulence/
European Union. (2024). History of the European Union 1945-59. European-Union.europa.eu. https://european-union.europa.eu/principles-countries-history/history-eu/1945-59_en
Gabel, M. (2019). European Union | Definition, Purpose, History, & Members. In Encyclopedia Britannica. https://www.britannica.com/topic/European-Union
Hayes, A. (2024, June 29). Brexit Meaning and Impact: The Truth About the U.K. Leaving the EU. Investopedia. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/brexit.asp
Kaup, T., & Edwards, G. (2020, February 21). The EU Institutions Post-Brexit: 2020 Update. FiscalNote. https://fiscalnote.com/blog/the-eu-institutions-post-brexit-2020-update
Labiak, M. (2024, September 16). Brexit deal impact “worsening”, economists say. Bbc.com; BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd988p00z1no
Lee, T. B. (2016, June 22). Brexit: the 7 most important arguments for Britain to leave the EU. Vox; Vox. https://www.vox.com/2016/6/22/11992106/brexit-arguments
Members Research Service. (2020, January 15). The European Parliament after Brexit. Epthinktank. https://epthinktank.eu/2020/01/15/the-european-parliament-after-brexit/
Riley, A., & Ghilès, F. (2016). Brexit: Causes and Consequences. Cidob.org. https://www.cidob.org/en/publications/brexit-causes-and-consequences
Statista. (2018). Effect of Brexit on real GDP 2018-2023 | Statista. Statista; Statista. https://www.statista.com/statistics/567983/effect-of-brexit-on-gdp-in-the-uk/
Statista. (2023). Brexit opinion poll 2021. Statista. https://www.statista.com/statistics/987347/brexit-opinion-poll/
Westcott, N. (2020, November 26). Sovereignty and Brexit: Control of What exactly? UK in a Changing Europe. https://ukandeu.ac.uk/sovereignty-and-brexit-control-of-what-exactly/

















